"Microsoft Should Abandon the Consumer Market" Article by by Paul Thurrott at Windows IT Pro
Microsoft Should Abandon the Consumer Market
http://www.windowsitpro.com/article/microsoft-products/Microsoft-Should-Abandon-the-Consumer-Market.aspx
Depending
on what matters to you, it's been a tough decade for Microsoft. The
company's stock price has stagnated as it matured from a quickly-growing
upstart into a slow-moving, comfortable, behemoth. But in recent years,
faster-moving companies such as Apple and Google have stolen the
limelight, thanks to innovative and exciting consumer products. And
despite the fact that these companies are behemoths themselves, they've
generated significant excitement with shareholders as well.
The
consensus, it seems, is that Microsoft simply doesn't move quickly
enough. It no longer sets the tech agenda, but instead follows other
companies into new markets. Critics have called on the company to pick
up the pace, to move with more alacrity, and demonstrate that its
hierarchical corporate sprawl hasn't choked out the lifeblood of the
company quite yet. I've been pretty vocal along these lines myself.
But
during a recent briefing about Microsoft's cloud computing and
virtualization strategy, a sudden contrary thought hit me. Here's this
company that's so often criticized for not moving quickly enough. But
when it comes to the business market, Microsoft isn't just providing a
unique set of products and services that the competition can't match,
it's doing so in an aggressive fashion. Put another way, Microsoft is leading in the business desktop, servers, and services markets in ways that generally elude it with consumers.
There
are exceptions, of course, with the Xbox portion of Microsoft's
Entertainment and Devices Division being perhaps the only meaningful one
from a revenue perspective. Assuming that all of the revenues that the
E&D division makes are consumer oriented (and they're not), that
division was responsible for just 10 percent of the company's overall
revenues in CY 2010. (Note that Microsoft's fiscal year runs from July
to June; this calculation is based on January to December 2010.)
Of
the remainder of the company, only the Windows and Windows Live
division also generates revenues from individuals, though as I'll argue
in a moment, we shouldn't confuse "consumers" with "individuals." It's
hard to gauge an exact figure, but the entire division earned about 31
percent of Microsoft's revenues in CY 2010. If fully half of that came
from individuals (and it did not), then all of Microsoft's
"consumer"-oriented revenues represented just one quarter of the
company's overall revenues for the year. The other 75 percent came from
businesses.
There's just one thing. It's not that high.
My estimate is that less than 15 percent of Microsoft's revenues come
purely from consumer purchasers. And that's because I draw a distinction
between consumers—that is, people who organize and enjoy digital media
collections, play video games, and engage in other non-productive
tasks—and individuals, which are those people who use technology to
communicate via email and IM, generate and edit business- and
education-oriented documents with Microsoft Office solutions, and so on.
Yes, there is crossover between these groups, though one might make the
argument that people are increasingly turning to non-Microsoft
solutions for their non-productivity technology use. But when you look
at people who purely use Microsoft products as true consumers, it's a
comparatively small group from a revenue perspective.
Let's define
these groups further by comparing people who lean toward Microsoft and
Apple products, with Microsoft being the typical supplier of business
solutions and Apple serving the consumer market.
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